Scenarios of Potential Escalation | December 2025
Introduction: Lebanon faces the possibility of an Israeli military escalation amid mounting domestic and geopolitical tensions over Hezbollah’s arms, though recent US-backed diplomatic engagement between Beirut and Tel Aviv could stave off a significant escalation in...
November Crisis Update | 2025
Key Takeaways: Israel significantly escalated its military campaign against Hezbollah with the November 23 killing of Hezbollah official Haitham al-Tabatabai in Beirut’s southern suburbs, its most high-profile assassination since the start of the Cessation of...
Strengthening Regional Policy Dialogue and Partnerships on Solutions | Bulletin Volume 1
Introduction: This bulletin is a product of the ‘Strengthening Regional Policy Dialogue and Partnerships on Solutions’ project, which seeks to strengthen evidence-based policy dialogue, advocacy, and partnerships on adaptive solutions. This project is implemented by...
2025’s Drought in Lebanon: A Dry Season for Lebanon’s Farmers
Introduction: Lebanon is contending with the effects of its worst drought in decades, having received roughly half its typical annual rainfall to date. This has led to record-low inflows to lakes and reservoirs, water rationing, and widespread groundwater stress....
The Multiplier Effect of Cash Programs in Lebanon
Introduction: This study calculates the multiplier effect of multi-purpose cash assistance (MPCA) and Cash Plus programs by Mercy Corps and three partner organizations – Action Against Hunger (ACF), Save the Children, and WeWorld – in the Lebanese districts of Akkar...
October Crisis Update
Key Takeaways: Israel escalated its military campaign in Lebanon in October, carrying out a total of 95 airstrikes. Israeli forces targeted public infrastructure and equipment needed for reconstruction across southern Lebanon and launched a deadly cross-border ground...
Informal Social Protection and Multi-Purpose Cash Assistance
Executive Summary: This report examines the relationship between informal social protection (ISP) networks and multi-purpose cash assistance (MPCA) in Lebanon. Drawing on four rounds of post-distribution monitoring (PDM) data collected between October 2024 and August...
September Crisis Update
Key Takeaways: While the Council of Ministers’ approval of a confidential Lebanese Armed Forces (LAF) plan to confiscate non-state arms – one reportedly without deadlines – has satisfied Hezbollah for the time being, the United States (US) has expressed growing...
Household Water Access in Baalbek-Hermel and Bekaa: Constraints and Coping Mechanisms
Introduction: Lebanon is experiencing its worst drought on record, driven by a 50% year-on-year drop in rainfall between November 2024 and May 2025. Combined with low snow melt, this has depleted the natural springs and wells that provide 83% of Lebanon's annual water...
August Crisis Update
Key Takeaways: Political tensions are high in Lebanon after the Council of Ministers effectively endorsed a Lebanese Armaed Forces (LAF) plan to disarm Hezbollah nationwide on September 5. The US has been pressuring the Lebanese state to impose a monopoly on arms by...










