March Crisis Update | 2026
Key Takeaways Sustained Israeli strikes on bridges along the Litani River are progressively cutting off border regions in southern Lebanon. Some 150,000 people remain in increasingly isolated areas, with humanitarian access deteriorating while dependence on urgent aid...
Economic and Humanitarian Impacts of Higher Global Oil Prices on Lebanon
Key Takeaways: Due the ongoing conflict and the resulting rise in crude oil prices, Lebanon is at risk of slowing growth, reduced consumer spending, and widening cash flow deficits. The country's dependence on imported fuel exposes all economic sectors and...
February Crisis Update | 2026
The Monthly Lebanon Crisis Update provides an overview of economic and political developments to alert the international aid response to new and emerging challenges that could impact the humanitarian situation in Lebanon. In the context of the multiple crises...
Lebanon Conflict Scenario | March 2026
Introduction: Hezbollah’s March 2 attack on Israel triggered a sharp Israeli military escalation in Lebanon, more than a year after the 66-Day War ended in late November 2024. The strikes have drawn the country into the rapidly unfolding regional conflict: Days...
Regional Socio-Economic Update | Bulletin Volume 2
Summary: A number of developments are notable in Syria. These include the repeal of the Caesar Act and over 10 billion US dollars (USD) in investment commitments by public and private partners in Qatar, the USA, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), the Kingdom of Saudi...
January Crisis Update | 2026
Key Takeaways: Lebanon is approaching a critical juncture as the Council of Ministers pushes to expand disarmament north of the Litani River. While the Lebanese Armed Forces (LAF) completed this process south of the Litani, Hezbollah continues to...
Potential Strike on Iran: Pathways for Lebanon
Introduction: Tensions have risen between the United States (US) and Iran, with Washington signaling that it could conduct military action in response to Tehran’s deadly crackdown on domestic protests. This Lebanese Crisis Analytics Team (LCAT) report presents three...
December Crisis Update | 2025
Key Takeaways: - The Lebanese Armed Forces (LAF) announced that it had completed the first phase of Hezbollah disarmament south of the Litani River, though prospects for countrywide disarmament are uncertain. Hezbollah continues to reject calls to hand over their arms...
Scenarios of Potential Escalation | December 2025
Introduction: Lebanon faces the possibility of an Israeli military escalation amid mounting domestic and geopolitical tensions over Hezbollah’s arms, though recent US-backed diplomatic engagement between Beirut and Tel Aviv could stave off a significant escalation in...
November Crisis Update | 2025
Key Takeaways: Israel significantly escalated its military campaign against Hezbollah with the November 23 killing of Hezbollah official Haitham al-Tabatabai in Beirut’s southern suburbs, its most high-profile assassination since the start of the Cessation of...










