Key Findings:

  • LCAT produced the economic vulnerability score (EVS) indicator to identify pockets of vulnerability at the local level using data on changes in NLR concentration and fuel prices, which accounts for a relative lack of available data across most of Lebanon.
  • The EVS corresponds well to existing common vulnerability indicators, specifically, the Integrated Food Security Phase Classification, Household Deprivation Score, and Multidimensional Poverty Index.
  • Statistical correspondence between the EVS and a list of Lebanon’s most vulnerable cadasters produced by UN Inter-Agency Coordination suggests that the EVS can also be used to accurately identify economically vulnerable cadasters.
  • Economically vulnerable cadasters are found throughout the country and most concentrated in the qadas of Tripoli, Zahle, Beirut, and Akkar.
  • The EVS can be replicated for other contexts, specifically those with decentralized electricity production, with northern Yemen and Nigeria being possible future use cases.

 

Crisis Analytics Team, Mercy Corps Lebanon