LCAT Reports

The Lebanon Crisis Analytics Team (LCAT) provides reactive and in-depth context analysis to inform the humanitarian community in Lebanon. The information and analysis contained in this report is strictly to inform the humanitarian response and policymaking on Lebanon.

LCAT Reports

The Lebanon Crisis Analytics Team (LCAT) provides reactive and in-depth context analysis to inform the humanitarian community in Lebanon. The information and analysis contained in this report is strictly to inform the humanitarian response and policymaking on Lebanon.

The Monthly Lebanon Crisis Update provides an overview of economic and political developments to alert the international aid response to new and emerging challenges that could impact the humanitarian situation in Lebanon. In the context of the multiple crises affecting Lebanon, the update tracks the impact of political developments on the economy, relevant international developments, updates on service delivery and governance issues, and analysis of the drivers of humanitarian need as they develop. The report also aims to provide nuanced forecasting on contextual shifts relevant to shifting needs and the implementation of humanitarian programming. The report draws upon a desk review of currently available literature, analysis of relevant quantitative data, and key informant interviews with a range of experts and individuals with knowledge of Lebanon’s economy.

The Monthly Lebanon Crisis Update provides an overview of economic and political developments to alert the international aid response to new and emerging challenges that could impact the humanitarian situation in Lebanon. In the context of the multiple crises affecting Lebanon, the update tracks the impact of political developments on the economy, relevant international developments, updates on service delivery and governance issues, and analysis of the drivers of humanitarian need as they develop. The report also aims to provide nuanced forecasting on contextual shifts relevant to shifting needs and the implementation of humanitarian programming. The report draws upon a desk review of currently available literature, analysis of relevant quantitative data, and key informant interviews with a range of experts and individuals with knowledge of Lebanon’s economy.

Monthly Reports

February Crisis Update
February Crisis Update

Key Takeaways: The Central Bank established a new official USD exchange rate of LBP 15,000 and raised the Sayrafa rate to LBP 42,000 on February 1. The US dollar (USD)-Lebanese pound (LBP) parallel market exchange rate reached LBP 88,000 in late February before...

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January Crisis Update
January Crisis Update

Key Takeaways: The Lebanese Pound (LBP) depreciated to a low of LBP 63,500 per USD 1 on January 26. Acute LBP depreciation in the second half of January was accompanied by an increase in LBP money supply and Central Bank-mandated limits on Sayrafa platform...

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December Crisis Update
December Crisis Update

Key Takeaways: The Lebanese pound (LBP) parallel market exchange rate depreciated to a record low of LBP 47,800 per 1 US dollar (USD) by December 26, largely due to an increase in money supply in December. The exchange rate sharply appreciated on December 27, when the...

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November Crisis Update
November Crisis Update

Key Takeaways: The Lebanese pound (LBP) parallel market exchange rate depreciated to a record low of LBP 41,500 per 1 US dollar (USD) by the end of November. LBP depreciation in November was in large part due to a significant increase in money supply in September and...

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October Crisis Update
October Crisis Update

Key Takeaways: President Michel Aoun’s six-year term ended on October 31, after the parliament failed to elect his successor, despite holding four electoral sessions in October. Established parties have not signaled that they will soon agree on a so-called “consensus...

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September Crisis Update
September Crisis Update

Key Takeaways: The first parliamentary session to vote for a new president ended without success, raising concerns over ongoing political deadlock and the impact it could have on a potential economic recovery. The parliament passed the long-awaited 2022 budget,...

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