LCAT Reports
The Lebanon Crisis Analytics Team (LCAT) provides reactive and in-depth context analysis to inform the humanitarian community in Lebanon. The information and analysis contained in this report is strictly to inform the humanitarian response and policymaking on Lebanon.
LCAT Reports
The Lebanon Crisis Analytics Team (LCAT) provides reactive and in-depth context analysis to inform the humanitarian community in Lebanon. The information and analysis contained in this report is strictly to inform the humanitarian response and policymaking on Lebanon.
The Monthly Lebanon Crisis Update provides an overview of economic and political developments to alert the international aid response to new and emerging challenges that could impact the humanitarian situation in Lebanon. In the context of the multiple crises affecting Lebanon, the update tracks the impact of political developments on the economy, relevant international developments, updates on service delivery and governance issues, and analysis of the drivers of humanitarian need as they develop. The report also aims to provide nuanced forecasting on contextual shifts relevant to shifting needs and the implementation of humanitarian programming. The report draws upon a desk review of currently available literature, analysis of relevant quantitative data, and key informant interviews with a range of experts and individuals with knowledge of Lebanon’s economy.
The Monthly Lebanon Crisis Update provides an overview of economic and political developments to alert the international aid response to new and emerging challenges that could impact the humanitarian situation in Lebanon. In the context of the multiple crises affecting Lebanon, the update tracks the impact of political developments on the economy, relevant international developments, updates on service delivery and governance issues, and analysis of the drivers of humanitarian need as they develop. The report also aims to provide nuanced forecasting on contextual shifts relevant to shifting needs and the implementation of humanitarian programming. The report draws upon a desk review of currently available literature, analysis of relevant quantitative data, and key informant interviews with a range of experts and individuals with knowledge of Lebanon’s economy.
Monthly Reports
May Crisis Update
Key Takeaways: Lebanon held national elections on May 15, the first since the country’s economic crisis began in 2019 and the August 2020 Beirut port blast. No parliamentary block or political alliance won a clear majority, unlike in the previous parliament....
April Crisis Update
Key Takeaways: The Lebanese Pound (LBP) depreciated in April to 27000, likely due to an increase in LBP in circulation and reduced Sayrafa injections. This possibly marks a shift in the Central Bank policy since January of stabilizing the LBP within the 20-25000...
March Crisis Update
Key Takeaways: The Lebanese pound’s (LBP) value against the US dollar (USD) declined in March, largely over concerns about how long Circular 161 will remain in force and multiple probes targeting the banking sector locally and internationally. Investigations into the...
February Crisis Update
Key Takeaways: The Lebanese Pound (LBP) was relatively stable throughout February after rebounding in January. It is unclear whether the Central Bank will be able to maintain the rate, especially in the face of declining reserves and a rising trade imbalance driven in...
January Crisis Update
Key Takeaways: In an unexpected development, the Central Bank intervened in the currency market to stabilize the Lebanese Pound (LBP), which recovered from a low of LBP 33,000 to one US dollar (USD) on January 11, to about LBP 20,000 by the end of the month. The...
November/December Crisis Update
Key Takeaways: The Lebanese lira continued to experience significant depreciation during the final two months of 2021, pushing towards 30,000 and further reducing the purchasing power of the population, driving many more towards a dependence on humanitarian assistance...
