LCAT Reports

The Lebanon Crisis Analytics Team (LCAT) provides reactive and in-depth context analysis to inform the humanitarian community in Lebanon. The information and analysis contained in this report is strictly to inform the humanitarian response and policymaking on Lebanon.

LCAT Reports

The Lebanon Crisis Analytics Team (LCAT) provides reactive and in-depth context analysis to inform the humanitarian community in Lebanon. The information and analysis contained in this report is strictly to inform the humanitarian response and policymaking on Lebanon.

The Monthly Lebanon Crisis Update provides an overview of economic and political developments to alert the international aid response to new and emerging challenges that could impact the humanitarian situation in Lebanon. In the context of the multiple crises affecting Lebanon, the update tracks the impact of political developments on the economy, relevant international developments, updates on service delivery and governance issues, and analysis of the drivers of humanitarian need as they develop. The report also aims to provide nuanced forecasting on contextual shifts relevant to shifting needs and the implementation of humanitarian programming. The report draws upon a desk review of currently available literature, analysis of relevant quantitative data, and key informant interviews with a range of experts and individuals with knowledge of Lebanon’s economy.

The Monthly Lebanon Crisis Update provides an overview of economic and political developments to alert the international aid response to new and emerging challenges that could impact the humanitarian situation in Lebanon. In the context of the multiple crises affecting Lebanon, the update tracks the impact of political developments on the economy, relevant international developments, updates on service delivery and governance issues, and analysis of the drivers of humanitarian need as they develop. The report also aims to provide nuanced forecasting on contextual shifts relevant to shifting needs and the implementation of humanitarian programming. The report draws upon a desk review of currently available literature, analysis of relevant quantitative data, and key informant interviews with a range of experts and individuals with knowledge of Lebanon’s economy.

Monthly Reports

August Crisis Update
August Crisis Update

Key Takeaways: The value of the Lebanese Pound (LBP) fluctuated against the US dollar (USD) throughout August and by the end of the month depreciated to about LBP 33,000. The depreciation appears to have been triggered by a continued decline in Sayrafa exchanges...

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July Crisis Update
July Crisis Update

Key Takeaways: The value of the Lebanese Pound (LBP) depreciated slightly against the US dollar (USD) throughout most of July and ended the month at about LBP 30,000. The depreciation appears to have been triggered by a decline in Sayrafa exchanges compared to...

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June Crisis Update
June Crisis Update

Key Takeaways: Despite fluctuating throughout June, the Lebanese pound’s (LBP) value against the US Dollar (USD) did not sharply depreciate due to the Central Bank’s ongoing intervention via Circular 161. However, this period of relative stability is threatened by the...

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May Crisis Update
May Crisis Update

Key Takeaways: Lebanon held national elections on May 15, the first since the country’s economic crisis began in 2019 and the August 2020 Beirut port blast. No parliamentary block or political alliance won a clear majority, unlike in the previous parliament....

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April Crisis Update
April Crisis Update

Key Takeaways: The Lebanese Pound (LBP) depreciated in April to 27000, likely due to an increase in LBP in circulation and reduced Sayrafa injections. This possibly marks a shift in the Central Bank policy since January of stabilizing the LBP within the 20-25000...

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March Crisis Update
March Crisis Update

Key Takeaways: The Lebanese pound’s (LBP) value against the US dollar (USD) declined in March, largely over concerns about how long Circular 161 will remain in force and multiple probes targeting the banking sector locally and internationally. Investigations into the...

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