LCAT Reports
The Lebanon Crisis Analytics Team (LCAT) provides reactive and in-depth context analysis to inform the humanitarian community in Lebanon. The information and analysis contained in this report is strictly to inform the humanitarian response and policymaking on Lebanon.
LCAT Reports
The Lebanon Crisis Analytics Team (LCAT) provides reactive and in-depth context analysis to inform the humanitarian community in Lebanon. The information and analysis contained in this report is strictly to inform the humanitarian response and policymaking on Lebanon.
Flash Reports
Regional Socio-Economic Update | Bulletin Volume 3
Summary: The renewed 2026 military escalation in the Middle East and broader regional instability are leading to rising fuel prices, supply chain disruptions, and energy insecurity in Syria, Lebanon, and Jordan. Syria and Jordan have experienced sharp increases in...
Economic and Humanitarian Impacts of Higher Global Oil Prices on Lebanon
Key Takeaways: Due the ongoing conflict and the resulting rise in crude oil prices, Lebanon is at risk of slowing growth, reduced consumer spending, and widening cash flow deficits. The country's dependence on imported fuel exposes all economic sectors and...
Lebanon Conflict Scenario | March 2026
Introduction: Hezbollah’s March 2 attack on Israel triggered a sharp Israeli military escalation in Lebanon, more than a year after the 66-Day War ended in late November 2024. The strikes have drawn the country into the rapidly unfolding regional conflict: Days...
Regional Socio-Economic Update | Bulletin Volume 2
Summary: A number of developments are notable in Syria. These include the repeal of the Caesar Act and over 10 billion US dollars (USD) in investment commitments by public and private partners in Qatar, the USA, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), the Kingdom of Saudi...
Potential Strike on Iran: Pathways for Lebanon
Introduction: Tensions have risen between the United States (US) and Iran, with Washington signaling that it could conduct military action in response to Tehran’s deadly crackdown on domestic protests. This Lebanese Crisis Analytics Team (LCAT) report presents three...
Scenarios of Potential Escalation | December 2025
Introduction: Lebanon faces the possibility of an Israeli military escalation amid mounting domestic and geopolitical tensions over Hezbollah’s arms, though recent US-backed diplomatic engagement between Beirut and Tel Aviv could stave off a significant escalation in...
Strengthening Regional Policy Dialogue and Partnerships on Solutions | Bulletin Volume 1
Introduction: This bulletin is a product of the ‘Strengthening Regional Policy Dialogue and Partnerships on Solutions’ project, which seeks to strengthen evidence-based policy dialogue, advocacy, and partnerships on adaptive solutions. This project is implemented by...
Household Water Access in Baalbek-Hermel and Bekaa: Constraints and Coping Mechanisms
Introduction: Lebanon is experiencing its worst drought on record, driven by a 50% year-on-year drop in rainfall between November 2024 and May 2025. Combined with low snow melt, this has depleted the natural springs and wells that provide 83% of Lebanon's annual water...
Syria Sanctions Relief: Opportunities and Challenges
Executive Summary: On May 23, U.S. President Donald Trump announced that Washington would begin easing sanctions on Syria, stating the measure would benefit Lebanon. After enduring multiple overlapping crises since 2019—financial collapse, economic decline, security...
Regime Change in Syria: Implications for Lebanon
Key Takeaways: The fall of the Assad regime has had negative security implications for Lebanon,especially along the border. Cross-border clashes have broken out during Syrian military operations targeting alleged smugglers and Assad loyalists. While Lebanon and Syria...
