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January Crisis Update | 2026

January Crisis Update | 2026

by Mercy Corps Lebanon | Feb 6, 2026 | LCAT Monthly Reports, LCAT Reports

Key Takeaways: Lebanon is approaching a critical juncture as the Council of Ministers pushes to expand disarmament north of the Litani River. While the Lebanese Armed Forces (LAF) completed this process south of the Litani, Hezbollah continues to...
Potential Strike on Iran: Pathways for Lebanon

Potential Strike on Iran: Pathways for Lebanon

by Mercy Corps Lebanon | Jan 29, 2026 | LCAT Flash Reports, LCAT Reports

Introduction: Tensions have risen between the United States (US) and Iran, with Washington signaling that it could conduct military action in response to Tehran’s deadly crackdown on domestic protests. This Lebanese Crisis Analytics Team (LCAT) report presents three...
December Crisis Update | 2025

December Crisis Update | 2025

by Mercy Corps Lebanon | Jan 9, 2026 | LCAT Monthly Reports, LCAT Reports

Key Takeaways: – The Lebanese Armed Forces (LAF) announced that it had completed the first phase of Hezbollah disarmament south of the Litani River, though prospects for countrywide disarmament are uncertain. Hezbollah continues to reject calls to hand over...
Scenarios of Potential Escalation | December 2025

Scenarios of Potential Escalation | December 2025

by Mercy Corps Lebanon | Dec 19, 2025 | LCAT Flash Reports, LCAT Reports

Introduction: Lebanon faces the possibility of an Israeli military escalation amid mounting domestic and geopolitical tensions over Hezbollah’s arms, though recent US-backed diplomatic engagement between Beirut and Tel Aviv could stave off a significant escalation in...
November Crisis Update | 2025

November Crisis Update | 2025

by Mercy Corps Lebanon | Dec 5, 2025 | LCAT Monthly Reports, LCAT Reports, Uncategorized

Key Takeaways: Israel significantly escalated its military campaign against Hezbollah with the November 23 killing of Hezbollah official Haitham al-Tabatabai in Beirut’s southern suburbs, its most high-profile assassination since the start of the Cessation of...
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